Track Record
The core “Weekly Macro Themes report” has been published since 2016. The ideas inventory table pictured below was implemented in early-2020 (to track and present a summary of ideas/views where a specific recommendation or viewpoint has been put forward in the report).
The below table shows summary stats from 2020-2026. Performance has been decent with the overall hit rate just over 70% and average profit for right ideas materially outweighing the average loss on wrong ideas.
The table below shows a complete listing of closed ideas/views across this period (updated to 30 April 2026).
As a brief explanation of the table, Date is the date of the report in which the idea was initiated and explained. The “category” denotes market view/idea as Idea, macro view as Macro, and Risk being a mix of both (often lower conviction).
The Subject denotes the main area of focus or asset class, and Topic refers to specific market/region/asset. Direction denotes the main view (e.g. up/down, bullish/bearish). Timeframe is the initial anticipated time for the idea or view to run its course. Conviction ranges High/Med/Low.
End of Year Special Reports
At the end of each year I go through all the report from the past year and pick out the best and worst charts/views + favorites and honorable mentions. It is basically a report card on the year that was, and helps provide another angle on the performance of the reports and analysis.
Throughout the years the common theme has been more good ideas than bad, and a consistent record of providing insightful and innovative charts, analysis, and actionable conclusions.
You can review the past decade of reports below:
2025 End of Year Special Report [click download below]
2024 End of Year Special Report [click download below]
Previous Years: 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017
Let me know if you have trouble accessing these reports and I can email the pdf to you and/or any other due diligence documents you might require.
Other than that, I hope the above is helpful in gauging the quality of the reports and track record for excellence and consistency I have established with Topdown Charts. But if you have any questions about the track record or in general please get in touch.
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Best regards,
Callum Thomas
Head of Research & Founder at Topdown Charts
Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/Callum_Thomas
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/callum-thomas-4990063/